When all you read is gloom, turn here for a much different perspective.

Tuesday, September 15, 2009

Recession is Over: Positive Economic Data Abounds

Fed Chief Ben Bernanke said Tuesday that indeed the recession of the past year is over. And positive economic data continues to punctuate assertions that the Q3 growth will be anything but lackluster:

1. On Tuesday, the popular ICSC-Goldman report's year-on-year measure jumped into positive ground -- 1.6 percent for the best showing in a year. The companion Redbook measure also showed sizable improvement in the Sept. 12 week, for the best reading since the spring.

2. A positive producer price report followed showing that the core rate of inflation continues to be quite tame at +0.2 percent, following a 0.1 percent decline in July.

3. More good news followed in the government's retail sales report for August. Consumer spending made a healthy showing mostly boosted by the clunkermania and higher gas prices. But other retail segments also signaled general health. All said, retail sales jumped 2.7 percent in August.

4. Manufacturing activity in the NY region continues to bounce. On Tuesday the Empire State index was reported to rise nearly 7 points in September to 18.88. New orders rose 6-1/2 points to 19.84 continuing to point to significantly increasing activity in the second half of the year.


  1. I have been following your blog for the past few months, and have been fighting the data nearly every day that you post. Timing is everything, my friend, and your perspective seems to be on the mark. It appears to be rubbing off. Keep it up.

  2. Thanks for reading Jack,

    Indeed there is more to come...



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